Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 515.531208 548.520546 582.828530 621.233205 663.099012 707.435725 758.046659
2026-01-04 472.468431 517.542730 566.286614 623.131046 687.872791 759.632173 845.627855
2026-01-11 445.168513 497.908660 556.575846 627.084779 710.069200 805.308626 923.860912
2026-01-18 422.833829 480.884735 546.945728 628.319008 726.731602 843.038234 992.603349
2026-01-25 406.650008 469.215109 541.839299 633.259443 746.540798 884.018515 1066.174452
2026-02-01 392.924400 459.204441 537.507073 638.011989 765.323139 923.634635 1139.315195
2026-02-08 381.683057 451.279872 534.834404 644.022856 785.200837 964.829866 1216.145756
2026-02-15 369.228054 441.041749 528.492570 644.615923 797.557793 996.255588 1281.136152
2026-02-22 358.227689 431.964748 522.949823 645.586372 809.941032 1027.745731 1347.464303
2026-03-01 349.181392 424.847495 519.392322 648.667106 824.855807 1062.907096 1420.562833
2026-03-08 339.122635 415.936746 513.005486 647.464906 833.551489 1089.493994 1482.433082
2026-03-15 330.821018 408.912974 508.680889 648.637639 845.268896 1120.522731 1552.342978
2026-03-22 322.755518 401.938958 504.176805 649.374840 856.401446 1151.299717 1624.034413
2026-03-29 315.715606 396.025894 500.787517 651.367215 869.200575 1184.890968 1702.005736
2026-04-05 309.958922 391.577126 499.125953 655.562311 885.163020 1223.729426 1790.623949
2026-04-12 303.542652 385.980152 495.623324 656.872091 896.744116 1256.264231 1870.907979
2026-04-19 298.871383 382.571778 494.956297 662.115483 914.262359 1298.641345 1970.330420
2026-04-26 294.399825 379.259356 494.246831 667.160246 931.546804 1341.352324 2073.206247
2026-05-03 290.605388 376.735431 494.505235 673.541794 951.030902 1388.432871 2187.068357
2026-05-10 285.186666 371.750239 491.054689 674.171501 961.415983 1421.032666 2277.149983
2026-05-17 280.163160 367.160424 487.992179 675.201929 972.361075 1454.957877 2372.013996
2026-05-24 276.054996 363.738211 486.479503 678.473279 986.938539 1495.626330 2482.565125
2026-05-31 270.801802 358.518340 482.156568 677.196657 993.952644 1523.530922 2570.506526